MLB: Hot betting system backs hot-hitting Sox

MLB: Hot betting system backs hot-hitting Sox

2010-07-29

The White Sox are white hot when playing in Chicago, no doubt about it. They have been almost unbeatable at home over the last couple of months, winning 16 of their last 17 games at US Cellular Field. On Wednesday, they’ll look to continue that surge when they play the third of a 4-game series versus the Mariners. Chicago is a -155 favorite according to Sportsbook.com at last check, and based upon a powerful StatFox betting system, should be listed at a much higher price. Let’s take a look at the game and the system.

No team has been better the last seven weeks than the White Sox (55-44), who are a major league-best 31-11 since June 9. They have gone from 9 1/2 games out of first place in the AL Central to a one-game lead on Minnesota.

Almost all of those 11 losses have come on the road, as Chicago has won nine straight and 16 of its last 17 at home.

Their dominance over the Seattle Mariners at U.S. Cellular Field extends back much further than that. In fact, with Tuesday’s 11-0 victory, Chicago improved to 25-7 at U.S. Cellular Field against Seattle (39-62) since 2004.

The last-place Mariners have lost 18 of their last 24 games.

Red hot Mark Buehrle (9-8, 3.96 ERA) will try to pitch the White Sox to their first 10-game home win streak since April 15-May 4, 2006. The Chicago ace started slowly this season, losing five straight decisions at one point, but has rebounded to go 6-2 with a 2.20 ERA in his last eight starts.

Buehrle is 6-0 with a 3.34 ERA in eight home starts versus Seattle.

Jason Vargas (6-5, 2.94) looks to continue his consistent pitching for the Mariners. He ranks among the top 10 in the AL in ERA and has produced quality starts in eight of his last 10 outings.

Tonight’s top betting angle comes straight from the FoxSheets Power Searches on a query titled “Current Season Situations With the Highest Winning Percentages”. It reads as follows:

Play On - Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts. (64-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (78%, +40.2 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -131.9

The average score in these games was: Team 5.7, Opponent 3.3 (Average run differential = +2.4)

The situation's record this season is: (8-0, +8 units).

Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-9, +18.9 units).

Since 1997 the situation's record is: (199-108, +43.3 units).

As you can see, this system is almost as hot in 2010 as the White Sox are at home. Chicago will put its own 9-game home winning streak on the line and look to give our feature system a 9-0 start when it goes head-to-head with Seattle starting at 8:10 PM ET.

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