MLB: Run line underdog parlay looks promising

MLB: Run line underdog parlay looks promising

2010-07-20

If you don’t mind backing a couple of teams buried at the bottom of their respective divisions, there is a promising run line underdog parlay on Monday night’s baseball betting board. According to a 42-8 system from FoxSheets, both the Mariners and Orioles have a good shot at making things interesting at home against teams currently in the playoff hunt. Let’s take a look at the system and how both teams might take advantage. For the latest prices and other key betting info, visit the GAME MATCHUPS page on Sportsbook.com.

Here is the key system under consideration:

• Play On - Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (BALTIMORE & SEATTLE) - below average AL hitting teams (AVG <=.265) against teams with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), in July games. (42-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (84.0%, +31.7 units. Rating=4*). The situation's record this season is: (5-0 +5 units).

As you can see, this powerful angle is already 5-0 in 2010, giving bettors a great opportunity to play either, both, or parlay the two qualifying clubs on Monday night. Here’s a quick preview of both games.

Tampa Bay (55-35) at Baltimore (29-61), 7:05 p.m. EDT

Money Line: Tampa Bay -180

Facing the team with the worst record in the majors might help Tampa Bay bounce back from a losing series against the club with the best. The Rays hope to do so while trying for a fifth straight road win over the Baltimore Orioles on Monday night.

Tampa Bay (55-36) missed its chance to gain ground on AL East-leading New York by losing two of three to the Yankees over the weekend. Despite being three games behind New York, the Rays have won 11 of 15 overall and hope a visit to Baltimore will help them regain some momentum.

The Rays have won nine of 11 against the Orioles (29-62), including five of six this season. Tampa Bay swept a three-game set at Baltimore from April 12-14.

The Rays hope Wade Davis (6-9, 4.69 ERA) can continue his success against the Orioles while trying to build on his first victory since May 29. Davis, 0-5 with a 6.32 ERA in his previous six starts, allowed two runs and four hits in seven innings of a 5-2 win over Cleveland on July 8.

The right-hander has allowed one run while striking out 13 in 16 innings to win both of his career starts against the Orioles. Davis recorded his only complete game by yielding four hits and striking out 10 in a 3-0 win at Baltimore on Sept. 17.

After being swept at home by Toronto, the Orioles counter with Chris Tillman (1-3, 5.64) as he tries to follow up the best outing of his young career.

In his return from Triple-A Norfolk, Tillman took a no-hitter into the seventh inning and outpitched Cliff Lee in his Rangers debut, allowing one unearned run and two hits in 7 1-3 innings of a 6-1 win at Texas on July 10. The 21-year-old Tillman had an 8.40 ERA in his previous four starts this season.

Chicago (50-40) at Seattle (35-56), 10:10 p.m. EDT

Money Line: Chicago -115

Mired in their worst losing stretch in three months, the AL Central-leading White Sox look to avoid a fourth straight defeat Monday night against the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. Chicago (50-41) is 26-5 since June 9, and had won nine a row before dropping the final three of a four-game series at Minnesota. The White Sox blew a three-run, ninth-inning lead in a 7-6 loss Sunday. Chicago, which has a 1 1/2-game lead over Minnesota and Detroit, has not lost four straight since April 15-18.

Facing Seattle (39-56) could help the White Sox get back on track. Though the Mariners snapped a four-game skid with a 2-1, 10-inning victory over the Los Angeles Angels on Sunday, they are 3-12 in July and dropped three one-run games at Chicago from April 23-25.

Seattle is batting .220 and averaging 2.8 runs this month.

Chicago rookie Daniel Hudson (0-0, 11.25 ERA) makes his second start of the season and first ever against Seattle. The Mariners counter with David Pauley (0-1, 1.00), who will face the White Sox for the first time.

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