Top MLB Weekend Power Trends 7/23-7/25

Top MLB Weekend Power Trends 7/23-7/25

2010-07-24

As the trade deadline nears in Major League Baseball, teams have just about a week left to decide whether they want to be buyers, sellers, or stand pat. In truth, most teams probably already know the answer to this dilemma, but still, you never know what a hot or cold streak might do over the next seven days. With that said, this weekend’s action might have a hand in the decision, although there are only two series’ in each league that match winning teams against one another. Let’s look at those matchups as well as the other key action and unveil our list of Top StatFox Power Trends to consider in your wagering.
In the National League this weekend, two fading clubs will try to revive their pennant chase hopes when they go head-to-head in Los Angeles. The Mets have lost 10 of their last 12 games, including a 2-0 shutout at the hands of the Dodgers on Thursday. They have fallen to 7.5-games back of the Braves in the process. L.A. hasn’t been a whole lot better of late, although they have won back-to-back games, both shutouts, since dropping six straight. The Mets are now 3-1 vs. Los Angeles this season, but have lost six of seven in L.A. dating back to 2008. Elsewhere, in Philadelphia, the Phillies are playing host to the Rockies. Like the Mets, Colorado has lost six of its L7 games in its current locale. They have lost six of eight games overall to fall to 4.5 games back of San Diego out West. Philadelphia seems to be just going through the motions right now, and is struggling offensively, having scored just 29 runs in its L10 games.
No one in the Senior Circuit goes into the weekend with longer than a 2-game winning streak, although San Francisco (at Arizona), St. Louis (at Chicago), and Florida (home vs. Atlanta) are the hottest teams over the last couple of weeks.
In the American League, the big series is in Texas, where the Rangers already started building the cushion over the Angels in the West Division with a 3-2 win on Thursday night behind Cliff Lee. Anaheim is in desperation mode for the rest of the series, since it has fallen to six games back, and any deeper of a hole will be very difficult to make up against a Texas team that can finally boast of having one of the league’s best pitching staffs. The Rangers are 3-0 vs. the Angels in Arlington this season and boast a 15-7 record in divisional play.
The other series pitting winning teams against one another is in Oakland, where the A’s play host to the Central leading White Sox. The A’s are surging right now, having won seven of eight games. Of course, that pales in comparison to the recent play of the pale hose, who are 28-9 since June 9th. It will be the first time these teams have played in 2010.
If you’re looking to ride the league’s best teams this weekend, the Rays will be in Cleveland looking to extend a run of 19-6 on the road this season against teams with a losing record, while the Yankees will be continuing a 4-game set at home versus the Royals.
Now, here’s our look at some of this weekend’s Top StatFox Power Trends, one for each of the 15 series’.
ST LOUIS at CHICAGO CUBS

CHICAGO CUBS are 18-36 (-17.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 3.5, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 1*)
COLORADO at PHILADELPHIA

COLORADO is 35-79 (-29.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season since 1997. The average score was COLORADO 3.9, OPPONENT 5.4 - (Rating = 1*)
SAN DIEGO at PITTSBURGH

PITTSBURGH is 7-25 (-17.0 Units) against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. The average score was PITTSBURGH 3.3, OPPONENT 5.3 - (Rating = 2*)
ATLANTA at FLORIDA

FLORIDA is 20-11 (+14.5 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the last 2 seasons. The average score was FLORIDA 4.9, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 1*)
CINCINNATI at HOUSTON

CINCINNATI is 13-3 (+9.2 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 3.8 or less runs/game on the season this season. The average score was CINCINNATI 5.6, OPPONENT 2.3 - (Rating = 1*)
WASHINGTON at MILWAUKEE

MILWAUKEE is 17-24 (-11.8 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. The average score was MILWAUKEE 4.7, OPPONENT 5.9 - (Rating = 1*)
SAN FRANCISCO at ARIZONA

SAN FRANCISCO is 20-6 (+12.8 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.8 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 5.3, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 1*)
NY METS at LA DODGERS

LA DODGERS are 36-12 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was LA DODGERS 4.6, OPPONENT 2.9 - (Rating = 1*)
TORONTO at DETROIT

TORONTO is 61-40 (+21.4 Units) against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. The average score was TORONTO 4.9, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 1*)
MINNESOTA at BALTIMORE

BALTIMORE is 13-31 (-16.1 Units) against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. The average score was BALTIMORE 3.5, OPPONENT 5.3 - (Rating = 1*)
TAMPA BAY at CLEVELAND

TAMPA BAY is 19-6 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season. The average score was TAMPA BAY 6.3, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 1*)
KANSAS CITY at NY YANKEES

KANSAS CITY is 17-7 OVER (+9.7 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. The average score was KANSAS CITY 5.0, OPPONENT 5.5 - (Rating = 1*)
LA ANGELS at TEXAS

LA ANGELS are 38-21 (+18.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. The average score was LA ANGELS 5.2, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 2*)
CHI WHITE SOX at OAKLAND

OAKLAND is 21-11 UNDER (+8.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The average score was OAKLAND 3.7, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 1*)
BOSTON at SEATTLE

BOSTON is 30-6 (+20.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the last 3 seasons. The average score was BOSTON 7.1, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 1*)

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